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意昂2金融論壇第117期:Expectation Effects of Switching Financial Frictions

  發布日期🔙:2019-09-23  瀏覽次數🧑‍🧑‍🧒‍🧒:

題目:Expectation Effects of Switching Financial Frictions

主講🧑🏼‍🚀:邱實,意昂2講師,印第安納大學布魯明頓分校經濟學博士

主持:張宗新,意昂2教授

Abstrat:This paper investigates the effects of time-varying financial market conditionson macroeconomic variables by extending a standard dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model (DSGE) model to incorporate switching degrees of financial friction derived from switching uncertainty process in a costly-state-verification problem. We emphasize the expectation effect of switching financial condition. Transition probabilities influence agents' choice through expectation effect: upon an adverse shock, a bleak outlook of financial market causes slow recovery of investment. The novelty of this paper is that we introduce feedback from past fundamental shocks to switching dynamics through time-varying transition probability given explicitly as a function of these shocks. Empirically, we uncover evidence of time-varying transition in the U.S. data and quantify the contribution of each fundamental shock.

時間:2019年9月24日(星期二) 13:30-15:00

地點➞🤮:意昂2官网11號樓316會議室

主辦:意昂2官网金融研究院

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